Your hand has some equity with a gutshot straight draw and potential pair outs, but since Villain is likely to check back many Ace-high hands on the flop, this turn will often give him top pair. T♣ 6♣ is too weak to probe with against most opponents, her. You are in the big blind with T♣ 6♣, and Villain is in the cutoff. Suppose you’re playing $0.50/$1.00 on Ignition (US-friendly poker site). Hand 3: A spot you should rarely probe bet This means that Villain will be incentivized to c-bet bluff at a high frequency, which in turn means that medium-strength hands will make up a greater proportion of his flop check-back range. When the middle or bottom card pairs, you should rarely probe the turn because most player’s flop check-back range will consist of many middle and bottom pairs.Īnother point to note is that the A ♦ K♣ 6 ♥ flop favors Villain’s range because he can have the strongest hands ( AA, KK, AK, AQ) while you can not. He also may have checked back a king, or even an ace, neither of which will fold to a probe bet. Villain is likely to check back all of his sixes on the flop, which have now improved to trips. This time you have J♣ 9♠, and Villain is in the cutoff. You’re still in that $2/$5 game and you’re in the big blind again. Hand 2: A spot you should probably never probe ( Note: Want to turn your poker hobby into a profitable side job? Start crushing your competition with expert strategies when you join the Upswing Lab. A probe bet is the only remaining option. Check-calling with a Jack-high gutshot is pretty clearly a losing play, and check-folding seems far too weak considering your hand’s solid equity when called. This is a less technical point, but you can also use process of elimination to decide whether or not to probe with this hand. Additionally, if he calls and the turn is a heart or spade, you can comfortably double barrel knowing that you block some possible flushes. Having these blockers makes it slightly more likely that Villain will fold the turn. Moreover, you have relevant blockers: the J ♥blocks a bunch of backdoor flush draws, and the 7♠ blocks any flopped flush draws Villain may have decided to check back. J7o has 18.66% equity versus an estimated turn calling range All in all, your hand will have around 19% equity when called. You also have three outs to hit third pair ( 7), which will sometimes be good at showdown. You have four outs to improve to a straight ( 8), and three outs to improve to top pair ( J). This is a great turn to probe with your hand. You check to Villain ( as you should with all of your hands), and they check back. The small blind folds and you decide to call. You just sat down and have chosen to post the big blind. Suppose you drove to the casino to play a $2/$5 live cash game. Think you’ve got what it takes to write, design or edit videos for Upswing Poker? Fill out an application here. If you always bet the turn after the flop has gone check-check, then smarter opponents can exploit you by trap-checking the flop with nutted hands. Of course, as with all things in poker, it’s important to find a balance. That is to say, they don’t check back often enough with strong hands on the flop, which opens the door for you to win the pot by probing at a high frequency. This play tends to be effective because your average opponent doesn’t properly balance their flop check-back range. Often, when the preflop aggressor chooses not to continuation bet (c-bet) on the flop, you can profitably probe on the turn with a wide range of hands. In this article, we’re going to discuss five different spots that will help you recognize when to check and when to probe bet. Probing is only possible on the turn or river. A probe bet is when you bet out of position into a player who had an opportunity to continuation bet on the prior street, but didn’t.
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